I am a long time fan of Robert X. Cringely and I was looking forward to his comments on the Oracle/Sun debacle. Here’s what he said in his blog – I couldn’t agree more:
it ends with the heart of Sun moving a few miles up 101 to where it will certainly die.
But for the most part what Oracle will do with Sun is show a quick and dirty profit by slashing and burning at a produgious rate, cutting the plenty of fat (and a fair amount of muscle) still at Sun. If you read the Oracle press release, the company is quite confident it is going to make a lot of money on this deal starting right away. How can they be so sure?
It’s easy. First drop all the bits of Sun that don’t make money. Then drop all the bits that don’t fit in Oracle’s strategic vision. Bring the back office entirely into Redwood Shores. The cut what overhead is left to match the restructured business. Sell SPARQ to some Asian OEM. Cut R&D by 80 percent, saving $2.4 billion per year. I’m guessing sell StorageTek, maybe even to IBM. And on and on. Gut Sun and milk what remains.
Read more at http://www.cringely.com/2009/04/sunset/
Regarding my previous post – I think that the acquisition is the start of a long death process for Java open source. I do not expect Oracle to announce the death of anything, but it will never the less die unless fully embraced by Oracle. The sun will surely set on Glassfish and the rest of the projects that doesn’t make any money for Sun, nor is of strategic interest to Oracle.